rocket_scientist

I'm 99.37% certain that's bollocks.

The beauty of good odds picks like that - and Shrews is a great value bet at that price (5/4) - is that we can risk less for a better return. Doubled with Dunfermline away to the hapless hopeless Brechin @ 2/5. Fiver on it. Edit: Typo. Dunf 4/9. £16.25 back hopefully.

After 2 bets: - BB 100%, RS 50% Balance (between us) = +£4.65 I bet most days that end in y so you decide when you want your next pick. Tuesday has a reasonably big card to choose from. Off and running...

http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/ Like him or loath him, he's always had the courage to say what he believes and on the demonisation and vilification of Corbyn and Putin, he's bang on. Our deep state is shutting down dissent and opposition. Even John Swinney has been a victim of their subliminal propaganda this week. They are desperate not to lose Scotland. Their tactics to destroy the independence movement don't include honest debate and free speech, rather, the same old fear campaign and scaring us into distrust of our own.

We always had one of the best pitches in Scotland, consistently so. But if the plan (of the man) is to relocate the stadium, why would he care? A piss poor playing surface strengthens his agenda.

True. I've done a tenner on Lazio (4/11) & Roma as well. I'll pull in this one to our spreadsheet if Dortmund suffer a hangover from their exertions in Austria

Can't believe Juve tonight. Cost me a fortune in potential returns. I watched it too. Bastards. Ok let's go again. £10 on Roma (8/15) and Dortmund (4/9).

As well as our NOD - nailed on (win) double - we ran a draw double where we tried to pick a draw each. After 16 efforts, my mate had picked 7 draws, I had picked 6 but only 3 of the 16 resulted in draw doubles. Which was fine as a draw double pays 10/1 so we were in profit but last Saturday I pulled the plug on it and suggested we do a Quad (fourfold) instead, two win picks each. It's too random, picking draws, like trying to shoot fish in a barrel. Anything can happen and the bookies are always going to win offering just over 2/1 for the draw.

That cunt is gone.

Any fitba you like, as long as I can find it in 365 etc.

There's a big card on Sunday too actually. Have a look and see if there's anything you fancy as a nailed on winner. This is a good site for studying form: - http://www.livescores.com

£7.50 staked. 17/20 for AS so that price has drifted but Juve into 3/10 (got them at 4/11 earlier in the week, before they beat Atalanta). Good price double to start. Pays 2.4 = £10.53 profit if it wins. I actually already had a double on those two so happy to see that pick of yours

I'm not sure about any of them for a very simple reason; I'm not there. It's not my area of knowledge. I have no direct involvement in the case. I was only forwarding on an alternative view, a counter to the standard establishment line, something Andrew Neil reinforced in disgusting fashion last night after Question Time. It is always wise to consider the boundaries and to always examine all possibilities, however unlikely they may be. This is where those who use the phrase "conspiracy theories" show themselves for what they are. Yes there are a handful of nut jobs who want to believe EVERY outlier but there is no doubt that the majority swallow the party lines without question, far less ever investing any critical thinking. Those who seek to invoke "conspiracy theorist" as a criticism will have something to hide or something to protect, their position of absolute certainty being their usual reason.

11/1 is enormous for the home win. I'm not tempted to put a small punt at 8 or 9/1, which is the best I can see on my online accounts but for 11's, I might put on £2 or so.

Forget the odds. It's all about picking winners. I'll manage the stakes accordingly. And since we will do this publicly for the next two months, there is pressure... for you to pick more winners than me and vice versa. I noticed PSG were 1/14 to win at home this week. That's not value. That's a price only a fool would take, usually in a long acca. As it happened, they scored early, had a man sent off before half an hour, scored a 2nd and finished 2-1 so only just did it. On the other hand, NI were 33/1 to beat England 20 years ago. In a 3 horse race (win, lose, draw), that was an exceptional price for value. My quid on it more than paid for the night in the pub watching it unfold.

Best game I've ever been to and I was in Gothenburg (best 24 hours of my life but not the best game). I'll never attend a game that good again (nor experience anything close to 11.5.83).

Good question but not sure I've got an answer. When the kids were small, I used to spend an extraordinary amount of time studying football for betting purposes. I made a profit every season for 8/9 years in a row until a famous dumb ass bet that lost me the will to live almost, fuelled by drink and in a league I never bet in, emptying my biggest balance in my favourite bookie account. I stopped betting then and only just got back into it these last 2.5 months. When our kids were very small, I couldn't afford foreign holidays but by the time they were in primary school, my bookie winnings were paying for an annual holiday. But I worked out that I was investing 25+ hours per week to earn the equivalent of less than the minimum wage so it was easy to walk away after the big drop. In my experience it doesn't matter what league we bet in. It's ALL about finding value. The bookies do make mistakes and I love it when I pick a team when the earliest bookies post who's odds come in as kick off approaches. I put a lot of my singles on a week before e.g. Cardiff are 2/1 now on the same bookie I got 5/2 on. But that's not nailed on, just a good value bet. You have to make your own selections but if doing multiples e.g. doubles, it's all about risk management. 4 or 5 to 1's lose more than win and beware of odds on aways. A mate of mine (who used to work in a bookies) proved that laying against EVERY odds on away nets a profit. I know the hard way as I thought he was speaking shite but he didn't even take my money when I was £200 or £300 down on our spreadsheet.

https://www.sott.net/article/379904-Skripal-Likely-Poisoned-by-British-Intelligence-in-Effort-to-Smear-and-Silence-Russian-World-View

I reckon you probably know the game as good as anyone so here's a no brainer proposal for you. Pick a winner this Saturday from any division in Europe. A nailed on winner. I'm going Juve away to Spal, my first away pick actually in 19 consecutive doubles. I will put money on your pick and mine and at the end of the season, will transfer half our collective winnings into your bank. Further, I indemnify you against any losses that our NOD's might have. In other words, I'll take the whole risk. I will prove that two guys who know about football can beat the bookie and given that I trust your judgement, I'm prepared to put my money where my mouth is. Given that you recommended The Hanoi Bike Shop - a place I've recommended to many others since - this will be a good way of saying thanks. Your first pick this Saturday is?

I have Schalke in a single this weekend, also at 23/20. I picked Hearts in our first double, 19/10 to beat Hibs but it finished 0-0. I've never picked such long odds since and given that our strategy is to pick nailed on winners - we call it NOD, Nailed On Doubles - I was being a greedy smart arse at that price. The bet on Tuesday that brought an amazing run to an end were both 11/10 shots, my Edinburgh City getting sunk by a late Cowdenbeath equaliser. It's not a "system" as such. We just believe that we know enough about football, form and momentum in this game that we can pick a winner more often than not. It's the management of the stakes that's key. We only lost £15 on Tuesday but would have won over £50. Getting back into fitba betting, my rule of thumb is "going for value" and therefore I've got a single on Cardiff at 5/2 this weekend and most of my bets are singles followed by doubles and the odd treble (Rapid Vienna, Wolves and Valencia this week). Good luck. Your 4.62 factor (return) is longer odds than we've ever put on in our NOD. My mate went Man City at 1/4 away in our first bet, a 1-0 win but irrelevant as I picked a loser.

Has the British public been dumbed down to such an extent that nobody cares any more? I find it frightening personally. The Chilcott report has been ignored. This is a "country" that has facilitated in and has directly killed millions illegally and yet they already know that the fate of one Russian ex-spy and his daughter killed on British soil was the act of Putin? And yet they won't reveal the evidence to anyone let alone to the accused? Even that thick cunt Trump has been primed to say "it looks like Russia is behind it". On more domestic matters and equally disturbing, have you noticed how Scottish produce in supermarkets has been de-Scotified over recent months. They are desperate to keep a hold of us. For our own good apparently.

A subject I have interest in. I hadn't put on a fitba bet for a number of years until late December. I was picking up my daughter on Boxing Day at closing time from a pub I used to frequent and as she had just got a fresh drink, I caught up and chatted to some of her pals then retired through to the bar to wait for her and finish my pint. Bumped into an old mate who is big into gambling and we decided to pick one win each and put on a double with me being the "account manager". He offered some cash but I said no point, we are doing this to win, not lose. This is how to beat the bookies; bet with their money, not yours. And keep a spreadsheet. I started with a £2.50 double but remember that the Xmas/New Year (and January actually) always throw up some wild results (as does the last 2/3 weeks of the season, October/November and February/March being the most predictable months in a fitba year). After 8 doubles to 27th Jan with gently increasing stakes, we only had two winners and were £17.25 down. From 3rd Feb until Tuesday, we both picked 8 winners out of the last 9 resulting in 7 double wins and an overall balance of +£129.69. On Sunday we staked £70 on Juve and Atletico to return £116.67, a factor of only 1.67 and a profit of £46.67 (they were 2/9 & 4/11). The element of competition between us helps the cause, he's on 12/18 and I'm 11 winners. This Saturday we've got £60 on Valencia & Juventus, which will return £109.20 hopefully. Now that we've introduced a fourfold - 2 picks each - I'm confident that we will hit my target of a grand each at the end of the season, especially now that we've opened up the picks to all markets (starting last Sunday) rather than just the 8 divisions in Scotland & England. Fools doing 75/100+ to 1 accas are pissing money away. The bookies win every season, every bookie. The only way to beat them is with a disciplined strategy. Accrington Stanley are my second pick this Saturday, good value at 8/11. I've got Dortmund as my main horse for Sunday.

Sectarianism, racism and bigotry are exercised by peoples of sub-average intelligence. Football with its sense of tribal belonging is also attractive to non-thinking classes. This problem is not primarily a football problem. It's a human one. People are stupid. Boy George nailed it decades ago. "War is stupid..."

My instinct screamed lies when Theresa span her shit. It appears "our government" aren't that bright but their disdain for the people is gargantuan. https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2018/03/the-novichok-story-is-indeed-another-iraqi-wmd-scam/

I want to pay tribute to the travelling support. Our away fans are brilliant, a real collection of diehards who create great atmosphere and generate a good laff most of the time. Good times have been thin on the ground for a very long time and it's a great feeling coming home with the win. I used to be that keen but I wasn't brave enough to risk it last night. There have been too many three hour drives home following shite performances and defeats. My spirit and my faith has finally been broken. I hope you get the first Scottish Cup win in May for 28 years, the very first trophy win in my lifetime that I won't attend because I don't deserve to be there, chickening out of last night. Brilliant commitment by you guys and great to hear Stand Free belting oot the radio.